Glasshouse Research · live track record

The desk, in the open.

Every strategy we run, backtest versus live, the trades we killed, and the macro setup — shown honestly, including the parts that aren't winning yet.

The book at a glance

Tested with the same rigour whether the answer was yes or no.

16
Strategies tested (lifetime)
11
Backtest-validated (PF ≥ 1.0)
3
On live capital
5
Killed on data
3
In research pipeline

Activity

12
Strategies in the book
113
Closed live & paper trades
4,974
Backtest trade sample
2
Shipped to paper this week

Read each strategy on its own. This isn't one blended fund — it's separate strategies at different stages, from research to live. What you'd copy is a specific strategy, not an average, so judge each on its own row below. Some are proving out, some are still being tested, some were killed. Backtests are simulations, not promises, and several live samples are still small.

Macro setup tracker

The market context the discretionary overlay watches. A point-in-time snapshot — the specific entry orders, stops and targets behind it stay private.

Neutral
BTC macro state · 50w EMA + swing
$62.9k
BTC spot · 1D close
65 Bull
BTC money-flow · 4H band
Below
BTC trend · 50D vs 200D
AssetWatch zonePositionStatus
BTC$57.4k – $72.1k37%Inside · Wait
ETH$1,460 – $1,74576%Inside · Wait
BNB$533 – $61981%Inside · Wait
LINK$5.72 – $8.2088%Inside · Wait
DOGE$0.07 – $0.1037%Inside · Wait
SOLBetween zones
AVAXBetween zones
XRPBetween zones

Watch zones = multi-week consolidation bands the overlay tracks for macro entries. Snapshot as of 2026-06-09; the specific ladder orders, stops and targets are not published.

Strategy book — backtest vs live

Plain names; exact parameters stay private. Note how often a strong backtest doesn't (yet) survive live — that gap is the honest part.

StrategyStyleBT nBT WRBT PFLive nLive PFStatus
Higher-Timeframe Momentum Trend3946%1.3171.67Paper · flagship
Trend (Alligator)Trend8242%1.34501.04Paper
Liquidation-Zone ReversionMean-rev98170%1.896Revived
Liquidity Mean-ReversionMean-rev87440%4.840Paper
Smart-Money Concepts ISMC2,29938%1.22210.46Testnet
Smart-Money Concepts IISMC49036%1.1860.29Testnet
Money-Flow LongTrend1450%1.19100.11Paper
CME Gap FillMacro3286%1.390Paper
ETH Funding Fade NewCarry3459%1.960Paper
Alt EMA Cross NewTrend7746%1.670Paper
BTC Macro LadderMacro0Live · testnet
Multi-leg Momentum (Cascade)Mean-rev5237%1.05130.67Killed

WR = win rate · PF = profit factor (gross wins ÷ gross losses) · BT = backtest · n = trade count. PF below 1.0 means losing. ★ = the strategy the copy book leads with.

Recent trades — the unedited tape

A live audit trail, wins and losses, exactly as they happened. No selecting the good ones.

Time (UTC)StrategyCoinSideResultExit
2026-06-08 14:03Higher-TF MomentumIMXSHORT+1.00%Trail SL (locked)
2026-06-08 07:40Money-Flow LongQQQLONG−0.10%Stop loss
2026-06-07 12:51Higher-TF MomentumDOTSHORT+1.00%Trail SL (locked)
2026-06-07 10:48Higher-TF MomentumSUISHORT−1.50%Hard stop
2026-06-02 14:28Liquidation-ZoneAVAXLONG−3.61%Stop loss
2026-06-01 15:00Liquidation-ZoneBTCLONG−2.29%Stop loss
2026-05-26 00:30Higher-TF MomentumDOTSHORT+1.00%Trail SL (locked)
2026-05-13 08:00Smart-Money IILTCSHORT+0.48RTrailing stop

How we kill & revive strategies

Each strategy ships with pre-committed kill criteria. When they fire, it's discipline, not failure — and it's logged. This list only grows.

2026-06-08
Shipped
Two new paper strategies deployed

After a 66-variant research sweep: an ETH funding-fade (3-yr backtest PF 1.96, 92% bootstrap-positive) and an alt EMA-cross basket. Both go to paper first for forward validation — never straight to real money.

2026-06-06
Killed
Multi-leg Momentum (Cascade) paused — no edge

Deep-dive found it never earned a real-money slot: paper profit factor ~0.66, and even its best backtest regime barely broke even net of costs. Stopped and disabled. Reversible only if a genuine new edge thesis appears.

2026-06-02
Watch
First live Liquidation-Zone trades all hit stops

The first three live trades of a revised exit model all stopped out. Sample too small to act on — logged transparently, validation continues.

2026-05-28
Shipped
Removed a regime filter that was causing losses

Data showed one strategy's market-regime gate was behind a string of stop-outs (it bought weakness while strength led). Removed on evidence, kept the filter that worked.

2026-05-24
Shipped
Fixed the flagship after 42 silent days

A direction filter had quietly stopped the Higher-TF Momentum strategy trading for six weeks. Diagnosed, A/B-tested, reverted — back to trading within 24 hours.

How you verify it

Transparency only counts if you can check it yourself.

Binance-verified stats

The copy book runs on Binance, whose own lead-trader page reports ROI, PnL and win rate independently of us. Request access and you get the live profile to inspect before you copy a cent.

On-chain (Hyperliquid)

As the Hyperliquid book comes online, every position and PnL is on-chain and public — verifiable by anyone, impossible to fake or quietly edit. Coming soon.

Append-only failure log

The kill log above only grows; entries are never deleted. The track record — wins and losses — is the asset, not any single call.

Follow along

No paywall. Leave your email and I'll send strategy write-ups, track-record updates and post-mortems as they're published.

No spam. Ready to copy the desk? Request access → · Questions? get in touch

How Glasshouse is paid

Aligned with you, by design.

Glasshouse only earns when you profit.

You keep custody of your funds in your own Binance account — Glasshouse never holds or can withdraw your money.

When the desk makes you money, it takes a 30% share of those profits, on a high-water mark — meaning it only earns on new gains, never the same ground twice. No profit, no fee. The other 70% is yours, and you can stop or withdraw any time.

Important — about the numbers. Figures marked or described as backtest are the result of applying a strategy's rules to historical data; they are hypothetical, were not achieved with real capital, and do not capture all real-world frictions. Backtested and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, and live trading routinely produces materially different — including worse — outcomes. Each strategy is shown individually and at a different stage of validation; several live samples are small. Macro levels shown are a point-in-time snapshot, not advice or a recommendation to trade. Glasshouse Research is a research and educational publication; nothing here is financial, investment, legal or tax advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation, and it does not manage assets or trade on your behalf. The copy service is a signal you choose to mirror in your own account — not a fund or deposit. Trading crypto with leverage carries a high risk of loss; you can lose some or all of your capital. Glasshouse Desk is an independent operator, not a licensed financial services provider.